Warren Buffett: ‘Tesco was a huge mistake’

Billionaire investor’s fund Berkshire Hathaway owns 4.1% of supermarket but falling share price has cost it £465m in a year

Renowned US investor Warren Buffett has said he made a “huge mistake” by investing in Tesco, as the problems mount at Britain’s largest retailer.

Tesco shares have slumped 45% this year as the supermarket issued four shock profit warnings and last week became embroiled in an accounting scandal, admitting it had overstated its profits by £250m. The retailer has been the worst performer in the FTSE 100 index this year and its shares are at an 11-year low.

Buffett, pictured, known as the Sage of Omaha and one of the world’s richest people, is Tesco’s third-largest shareholder, with a 4.1% stake, held through his Berkshire Hathaway investment business. However, the value of Buffett’s stake has fallen by about $750m (£465m) this year.

Buffett first bought into Tesco in 2006 – when Tesco was expanding rapidly in the UK and across the globe and was planning to open a new chain in the US – and steadily increased his holding.

However its US business, called Fresh & Easy, was eventually closed down altogether at a total cost of £1.8bn.

Undaunted by a shock profit warning from the company, Buffett raised his stake to over 5% when others were selling the stock. Tesco was the only stock in his top 15 picks that recorded a loss last year. Buffett told CNBC: “I made a mistake on Tesco. That was a huge mistake by me.”

The UK’s financial regulator has launched a full-scale investigation into the accounting scandal that has plunged Tesco even deeper into crisis. The retailer’s new boss, Dave Lewis, is tasked with restoring Tesco’s battered reputation as well as fixing its business amid rapidly declining sales.

Meanwhile, star UK fund manager Neil Woodford – who decided to sell his stake in Tesco in 2012 after its first profit warning – said last week it could be a long time before any of the British supermarkets became good investment prospects again.

Elsewhere in the grocery sector, Sainsbury’s shares fell again on Thursday, trading down nearly 4% at 224.8p, after its new boss, Mike Coupe, revealed a slump in sales and warned that Britain’s supermarkets are facing a “perfect storm” of problems.

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credit:   https://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/oct/02/warren-buffet-tesco-huge-mistake

Warren Buffett Just Obliterated Bitcoin in Four Words

Warren Buffett Just Obliterated Bitcoin in Four Words

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett is taking his already harsh criticism of Bitcoin to another level.

Buffett, who has previously said that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin will almost certainly “come to a bad ending,” was asked over the weekend at the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting about comments made by business partner Charlie Munger—who has called Bitcoin “turds” and compared it to rat poison.

Buffett didn’t mince words. Bitcoin is “probably rat poison squared,” Buffett replied.

On Monday, Buffett appeared on CNBC to explain that he was so down on Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies in general, because they don’t produce anything—so they’re essentially investments based on pure speculation.

“When you buy non-productive assets, all you’re counting on is that the next person is going to pay you more, because they’re even more excited about another next person coming along,” Buffett said. “The asset itself is creating nothing.”

Buffett has said in the past that he and many investors really don’t understand Bitcoin. On CNBC Monday, he added that cryptocurrencies’ mystique actually entices investors—because it seems like magic when, say, the price of Bitcoin rose 36% in April. (Mind you, that increase came after Bitcoin’s price had fallen to one-third of its all-time high near $20,000, which it hit last December.)

“It’s better if they don’t understand it,” Buffett said Monday. “If you don’t understand it you get much more excited.”

credit:  http://time.com/money/5267647/warren-buffett-bitcoin-invest/

Warren Buffett explains one thing people still don't understand about bitcoin

Warren Buffett explains one thing people still don't understand about bitcoin

When it comes to bitcoin, billionaire investor Warren Buffett wants to make one thing clear: Unlike buying stocks, bonds or real estate, buying bitcoin is not an investment.

That's because it lacks intrinsic value, Buffett says.

"If you buy something like bitcoin or some cryptocurrency, you don't have anything that is producing anything," Buffett says in an interview with Yahoo Finance. "You're just hoping the next guy pays more. And you only feel you'll find the next guy to pay more if he thinks he's going to find someone that's going to pay more.

"You aren't investing when you do that, you're speculating."

Famous for his "buy and hold" investment strategy, the Berkshire Hathaway CEO built his company — and his $82.8 billion net worth — backing companies that have substantive value.

"Put together a portfolio of companies whose aggregate earnings march upward over the years, and so also will the portfolio's market value," Buffett wrote in his 1996 letter to shareholders. "If you aren't willing to own a stock for ten years, don't even think about owning it for ten minutes."

To be an investment, what you're buying has to be worth something on its own, Buffett says.

For example, "If you buy something [like] a farm, an apartment house or an interest in a business and look to the asset itself to determine whether you've done something — what the farm produces, what the business earns ... it's a perfectly satisfactory investment," Buffett explains to Yahoo Finance. "You look at the investment itself to deliver the return to you.

"If you ban trading in farms, you could still buy farms, and have a perfectly decent investment," Buffett says.

Bitcoin, however, only increases in value by being bought and sold, he argues. Its value comes from what people are willing to pay.

"[I]f you ban trading in ... bitcoin, which nobody knows exactly what it is, people would say, 'Well why in the world would I buy it?'"

"The idea that it has some huge intrinsic value is just a joke in my view," Buffett said.

In 2017, bitcoin soared from below $1,000 at the start of the year to over $19,000 in December, catching the attention of everyone from J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon to NFL players. Tuesday, bitcoin traded near $8,900 according to CoinDesk's price index.

Buffett sees a bleak future for the digital currency.

"In terms of cryptocurrencies, generally, I can say with almost certainty that they will come to a bad ending," Buffett told CNBC in January."When it happens or how or anything else, I don't know."

Of course, Buffett has been wrong about backing new technologiesbefore. He missed opportunities to invest in Google and Amazon, decisions he now calls mistakes.

"I did not think [founder Jeff Bezos] could succeed on the scale he has," Buffett said to shareholders in May 2017.

Crypto-enthusiasts argue that Buffet doesn't understand blockchain-based coins, and he has admitted as much.

Still, many other investing experts like CNBC's Jim Cramer, Kevin O'Leary and Tony Robbins, also call buying cryptocurrencies a gamble. They suggest thinking of it like rolling the dice in Las Vegas.

"As long as you can afford to lose everything you put into it, go with it," O'Leary told CNBC Make It in December, 2017.

That mindset is alright with Buffett.

"There's nothing wrong with it if you want to gamble [that] somebody else will come along and pay you more money tomorrow," Buffett tells Yahoo Finance. "That's one kind of game. That is not investing."

Don't miss: Here's how much grad school cost when Warren Buffett graduated in 1951, compared to today

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credit:  https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/01/warren-buffett-bitcoin-isnt-an-investment.html

Joel Greenblatt

Joel Greenblatt (born December 13, 1957) is an American academic, hedge fund manager, investor, and writer. He is a value investor, and adjunct professor at the Columbia University Graduate School of Business. He is the former chairman of the board of Alliant Techsystems and founder of the New York Securities Auction Corporation. He is also a director at Pzena Investment Management, a high-end value firm.

John C. Bogle: Personal life

Personal life[edit]

Bogle and his wife Eve have six children and are grandparents. They reside in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania.

At age 31, Bogle suffered from his first of several heart attacks, and at age 38, he was diagnosed with the rare heart disease arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia. He received a heart transplant in 1996 at age 65.^[12][13]

Bogle is a member of the board of trustees at Blair Academy. He is also an advisory board member of the Millstein Center for Corporate Governance and Performance at the Yale School of Management. Bogle received honorary doctorates from Princeton University in 2005 and Villanova University in 2011. Bogle also serves on the board of trustees of the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, a museum dedicated to the U.S. Constitution. He had previously served as chairman of the board from 1999 through 2007. He was named chairman emeritus in January 2007, when former president George H. W. Bush was named chairman.

John C. Bogle: Investment philosophy[

Investment philosophy[edit]

Bogle's innovative idea was creating the world's first index mutual fund in 1975. Bogle's idea was that instead of beating the index and charging high costs, the index fund would mimic the index performance over the long run—thus achieving higher returns with lower costs than the costs associated with actively managed funds.

Bogle's idea of index investing offers a clear yet prominent distinction between investment and speculations. The main difference between investment and speculation lies in the time horizon. Investment is concerned with capturing returns on the long-run with lower risk, while speculation is concerned with achieving returns over a short period of time. Bogle believes this is an important analysis to be taken into account as short-term, risky investments have been flooding the financial markets.^[10]

Bogle is known for his insistence, in numerous media appearances and in writing, on the superiority of index funds over traditional actively managed mutual funds. He contends that it is folly to attempt to pick actively managed mutual funds and expect their performance to beat a low-cost index fund over a long period of time, after accounting for the fees that actively managed funds charge.^[8]

Bogle argues for an approach to investing defined by simplicity and common sense. Below are his eight basic rules for investors:^[11]

1. Select low-cost funds
2. Consider carefully the added costs of advice
3. Do not overrate past fund performance
4. Use past performance to determine consistency and risk
5. Beware of stars (as in, star mutual fund managers)
6. Beware of asset size
7. Don't own too many funds
8. Buy your fund portfolio - and hold it

John C. Bogle: Investment career

Investment career[edit]

After graduating from Princeton in 1951, Jack Bogle narrowed his career options to banking and investments. He managed to land a position at Wellington Fund where he showed great talent that made the manager of the fund, Walter L. Morgan to say that "Bogle knows more about the fund business than we do". Bogle was promoted to an assistant manager position in 1955 where he obtained a broader access to analyze the company and the investment department. Bogle demonstrated initiative and creativity by challenging the Wellington management to change its strategy of concentration on a single fund, and did his best to make his point in creating a new fund. Eventually he succeeded, and the new fund became a turning point in his career. After successfully climbing through the ranks, in 1970 he replaced Walter L. Morgan as chairman of Wellington,^[5] but was later fired for an "extremely unwise" merger that he approved. It was a poor decision that he considers his biggest mistake, stating, "The great thing about that mistake, which was shameful and inexcusable and a reflection of immaturity and confidence beyond what the facts justified, was that I learned a lot."^[6]

In 1974, Bogle founded the Vanguard Company which is now one of the most respected and successful companies in the investment world. In 1999, Fortune magazine named Bogle as "one of the four investment giants of the twentieth century".^[7]

In 1976, influenced by the works of Paul Samuelson, Bogle founded First Index Investment Trust (a precursor to the Vanguard 500 Index Fund) as the first index mutual fund available to the general public. In a 2005 speech, Samuelson ranked "this Bogle invention along with the invention of the wheel, the alphabet, Gutenberg printing".^[8]

Bogle had heart problems in the 1990s and, in 1996, he relinquished his role as Vanguard CEO to John J. Brennan, his handpicked successor and second-in-command whom he had hired in 1982. Bogle had a successful heart transplant in 1996. His subsequent return to Vanguard with the title of senior chairman led to conflict between Bogle and Brennan. Bogle left the company in 1999 and moved to Bogle Financial Markets Research Center, a small research institute not directly connected to Vanguard but on the Vanguard campus.^[9]

John C. Bogle: Early life and education

Early life and education[edit]

John (Jack) Bogle was born on May 8, 1929 in Verona, New Jersey to William Yates Bogle, Jr., and Josephine Lorraine Hipkins.

His family was affected by the Great Depression. They lost their inheritance and had to sell their home, with his father falling into alcoholism which resulted in his parents' divorce.^[3]

Bogle and his twin David attended Manasquan High school on the New Jersey shore for a time. Their academic record there enabled them to transfer to the prestigious Blair Academy on work scholarships. At Blair, John showed a particular aptitude for math, with numbers and computations fascinating him. In 1947, John graduated from Blair Academy cum laude and was accepted at Princeton University, where he studied economics and investment. During his university years, John was determined to examine the mutual fund industry that had not been analyzed before. Bogle spent his junior and senior year working on his thesis "The Economic Role of the Investment Company".^[4]

He earned his undergraduate degree in 1951, and attended evening and weekend classes at the University of Pennsylvania.

Seth Klarman: Publications and works

Publications and works[edit]

Klarman has written many annual letters to shareholders but has kept a limited role in writing articles, opinion editorials or books. In an interview with Charlie Rose, he discussed the popularity of his shareholder's letters and a request on behalf of HarperCollins to write and publish a book on investing.^[42] He followed up on this request by publishing his first and as of February 2017, his only book, Margin of Safety, Risk Averse Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor, a reflection of value investing found in his hedge fund. In the book he outlines the various issues with retail investing, and critiques small time investors getting into the market purely using metrics such as price momentum and losing money in the long run. He issues that this is speculation and at times gambling, and should be discouraged in the market place. The book asserts that more people should become value investors or people who invest in stocks that trade below their underlying value so as to purchase them at a discount.^[43]

The book had amassed a cult following among retail investors, professional and institutional investors as well as Wall Street as a whole.^[44][40][45] Due to "only 5,000 copies [being sold],"^[42] the book has gone out of print and has become a relic in the finance community. Originally the book was priced at $25 a copy, however, due to it being out of print it has a market price of $700 for used versions with newer copies going for $2,500 to $4,000.^[43][1] University libraries report the book as "one of their most wait-listed titles as well as one most claimed as lost."^[43] He has stated that he would be interested in holding a charity event where he bids his book to Wall Street executives.^[42]

He edited the 6th edition of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd's Security Analysis in 2008.^[46][47]

Klarman's published books and substantial writings are listed below:

• Klarman, Seth. Margin of Safety, Risk Averse Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor. HarperCollins.

Seth Klarman: Investment philosophy

Investment philosophy[edit]

Klarman is a known value investor, and has stated that he has known he was one since junior year of college at age 25. During an interview at Harvard Business School, he stated: "It turns out that value investing is something that is in your blood. There are people who just don’t have the patience and discipline to do it, and there are people who do. So it leads me to think it’s genetic."^[15]

When asked what drives his fund's overall investment strategy and how value investing fits into the hedge fund market he replied:

Firstly, Value investing is intellectually elegant. You’re basically buying bargains. It also appeals because all the studies demonstrate that it works. People who chase growth, who chase high fliers, inevitably lose because they paid a premium price. They lose to the people who have more patience and more discipline. Third, it’s easy to talk in the abstract, but in real life you see situations that are just plain mispriced, where an ignored, neglected, or abhorred company may be just as attractive as others in the same industry. In time, the discount will be corrected, and you will have the wind at your back as a holder of the stock.^[15]

Klarman has been an avid supporter of the teachings of Benjamin Graham, and during the 2008 financial crisis criticized the short-term thinking of other fund managers, he believes that the "this-time-is-different" mindset will give a false sense of security to investors and they ought to look at the bigger picture. He stresses the utility in the economy's business cycles and their predestined and perpetual self-corrective tendency.^[15] Klarman is known to sit on 30% to 50% of his funds in cash as to avoid unfavorable market conditions and only buys stocks he thinks have a suitable mispricing.^[7]

He makes unusual investments, buying unpopular assets while they are undervalued, using complex derivatives, and buying put options. During his first years running Baupost he made it a point to only invest in companies that were not widely accepted by the Wall Street community; he stressed managing risk and using the margin of safety.^[7] He is a very conservative investor, and often holds a significant amount of cash in his investment portfolios, sometimes in excess of 50% of the total.^[18]Despite his unconventional strategies, he has consistently achieved high returns.^[19] Klarman looks for companies that are traded at a discount (so he can assume shares with a margin of safety). Klarman and his fund usually go "bargain hunting," when companies are distressed or face low growth or declining years. It was reported by The Boston Globe in 2015 that when energy stocks were declining, his firm "started looking for deals."^[20] According to Institutional Investor, "[Klarman] has succeeded by deftly exploiting under-valued markets whether they are in equities, junk bonds, bankruptcies, foreign bonds or real estate.

Seth Klarman: Investment philosophy

Investment philosophy[edit]

Klarman is a known value investor, and has stated that he has known he was one since junior year of college at age 25. During an interview at Harvard Business School, he stated: "It turns out that value investing is something that is in your blood. There are people who just don’t have the patience and discipline to do it, and there are people who do. So it leads me to think it’s genetic."^[15]

When asked what drives his fund's overall investment strategy and how value investing fits into the hedge fund market he replied:

Firstly, Value investing is intellectually elegant. You’re basically buying bargains. It also appeals because all the studies demonstrate that it works. People who chase growth, who chase high fliers, inevitably lose because they paid a premium price. They lose to the people who have more patience and more discipline. Third, it’s easy to talk in the abstract, but in real life you see situations that are just plain mispriced, where an ignored, neglected, or abhorred company may be just as attractive as others in the same industry. In time, the discount will be corrected, and you will have the wind at your back as a holder of the stock.^[15]

Klarman has been an avid supporter of the teachings of Benjamin Graham, and during the 2008 financial crisis criticized the short-term thinking of other fund managers, he believes that the "this-time-is-different" mindset will give a false sense of security to investors and they ought to look at the bigger picture. He stresses the utility in the economy's business cycles and their predestined and perpetual self-corrective tendency.^[15] Klarman is known to sit on 30% to 50% of his funds in cash as to avoid unfavorable market conditions and only buys stocks he thinks have a suitable mispricing.^[7]

He makes unusual investments, buying unpopular assets while they are undervalued, using complex derivatives, and buying put options. During his first years running Baupost he made it a point to only invest in companies that were not widely accepted by the Wall Street community; he stressed managing risk and using the margin of safety.^[7] He is a very conservative investor, and often holds a significant amount of cash in his investment portfolios, sometimes in excess of 50% of the total.^[18]Despite his unconventional strategies, he has consistently achieved high returns.^[19] Klarman looks for companies that are traded at a discount (so he can assume shares with a margin of safety). Klarman and his fund usually go "bargain hunting," when companies are distressed or face low growth or declining years. It was reported by The Boston Globe in 2015 that when energy stocks were declining, his firm "started looking for deals."^[20] According to Institutional Investor, "[Klarman] has succeeded by deftly exploiting under-valued markets whether they are in equities, junk bonds, bankruptcies, foreign bonds or real estate."

Seth Klarman: Early life and education

Early life and education[edit]

Seth Andrew Klarman was born on May 21, 1957 in New York City.^[6][2] When he was six he moved to the Mt. Washington area of Baltimore, Maryland near the Pimlico Race Track,^[7] and grew up in a traditional Jewish family.^[8][9][10] His father was a public health economist at Johns Hopkins University and his mother taught high school English.^[11][12] His parents divorced shortly after their moving to Baltimore.^[7]

When he was four years old he redecorated his room to match a retail store putting price tags on all of his belongings and gave an oral presentation to his fifth grade class about the logistics of buying a stock. As he grew older had a variety of small time business ventures including a paper route, a snow cone stand, a snow shoveling business, and sold stamp-coin collections on the weekends.^[6] When he was 10 years old he purchased his first stock, one share of Johnson & Johnson (the stock splitthree-for-one and over time tripled his initial investment). At age 12 he was regularly calling his broker to get stock quotes, his reasoning behind buying a share of Johnson & Johnson was the fact that he has used a lot of band-aids (a product of the company) during his earlier years.^[6]

Klarman attended Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, and was interested in majoring in mathematics but instead chose to pursue economics.^[7] He graduated magna cum laude in economics with a minor in history in 1979.^[13] In the summer of his junior year he interned at the Mutual Shares fund and was introduced to Max Heine and Michael Price. After graduating from college he went back to the company to work for 18 months before deciding to go to business school.^[7] He went on to attend Harvard Business School where he was a Baker Scholar and was classmates with Jeffrey Immelt, Steve Burke, Stephen Mandel, James Long and Jamie Dimon.

Philip Arthur Fisher

Philip Arthur Fisher (September 8, 1907 – March 11, 2004) was an American stock investor best known as the author of Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, a guide to investing that has remained in print ever since it was first published in 1958.

Career[edit]

Philip Fisher's career began in 1928 when he dropped out of the newly created Stanford Graduate School of Business(later he would return to be one of only three people ever to teach the investment course)^[1] to work as a securities analyst with the Anglo-London Bank in San Francisco. He switched to a stock exchange firm for a short time before starting his own money management company, Fisher & Co., founded in 1931.^[2][3] He managed the company's affairs until his retirement in 1999 at the age of 91, and is reported to have made his clients extraordinary investment gains.^[4]

Although he began some fifty years before the name Silicon Valley became known, he specialized in innovative companies driven by research and development. He practiced long-term investing, and strove to buy great companies at reasonable prices. He was a very private person, giving few interviews, and was very selective about the clients he took on. He was not well-known to the public until he published his first book in 1958.^[5] At this point Fisher's popularity rose dramatically and propelled him to his now legendary status as a pioneer in the field of growth investing.^[6] Morningstar has called him "one of the great investors of all time".^[3] In Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, Fisher said that the best time to sell a stock was "almost never". His most famous investment was his purchase of Motorola, a company he bought in 1955 when it was a radio manufacturer, and held it until his death.^[7] Phillip is remembered for using and proliferating the "scuttlebutt" or "grape vine" tool, in which he searched fastidiously for information about a company.^[8] When you scuttlebutt, you make more informed decisions due a better basis for analysis and valuation.

In the 2018 Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholders meeting, Warren Buffett called Fisher's "Common stocks and uncommon profits" a "very very good book".^[9] He further described how using Fisher's "scuttlebutt" technique continues to be a good way to investing, which is still used by Ted and Todd at Berkshire Hathaway. John Train described Warren Buffett as 85% influenced by Benjamin Graham and 15% by Philip Fisher.^[10][11]

His son Kenneth L. Fisher also founded an investment firm.